Will Nadia Calviño be the next President of the European Central Bank?

4%Yes

7 ptsover 24h

The field · 7 outcomes

24h volume$63

Total volume$452

Liquidity$1.4K

Open interest—

Markets11 venue, 1 priced

ResolvesFeb 8, 2027in 3 months

First seenOct 29, 2026

Watching0

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Market-implied probabilities on Polymarket · All recorded history

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Based on market prices from Polymarket. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

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What a stake pays at each venue, before fees

Stake

Side

Venue	Price	Shares	Pays	Profit
	7.8¢	1,282	$1,282	+$1,182 12.8×

Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.

Where this question trades

1 venue

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

Will Nadia Calviño be the next President of the European Central Bank?
96% No$63 24h volume
Resolution rules
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Will Nadia Calviño be the next President of the European Central Bank?

Probability history

If you’re right

Where this question trades

More in Economy

Probability history

If you’re right

Where this question trades

More in Economy