Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 35% or higher?

21%Yes
—over 24h

The field · 4 outcomes

  1. 20%+88%—
  2. 25%+68%—
  3. 30%+28%—
  4. 35%+ · this question21%—
24h volume$3.3K
Total volume$3.3K
Markets11 venue, 1 priced
ResolvesJul 1, 2027in 8 months
First seenOct 24, 2026
Watching0

Probability history

Open the market

Drag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 24, 02:36 AMOct 24, 07:37 AMOct 24, 12:38 PMOct 24, 05:39 PM

No recorded data before Oct 24 in this window.

Based on market prices from Polymarket. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

If you’re right

$
Side
VenuePriceSharesPaysProfit
Polymarket24¢417$417+$317 4.2×

Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.

Where this question trades

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.
  1. 1Anthropic IPO Officially Confirmed By: November 30, 2026
    71%Yes11 pts
  2. 2Anthropic IPO Officially Confirmed By: December 31, 2026
    85%Yes3 pts
  3. 3Which Companies Will Confirm an IPO in 2026: Anthropic
    84%Yes0 pts
  4. 4Will Anthropic list by 1 January 2027 00:00 UTC with a first-day market cap above $2.5T?
    7%Yes0 pts
  5. 5Anthropic IPO Officially Confirmed By: June 30, 2027
    92%Yes0 pts

As of Oct 24, 06:26 PM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.