Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 25% or higher?

70%Yes
1 ptsover 24h

The field · 4 outcomes

  1. 20%+85%4
  2. 25%+ · this question70%1
  3. 30%+27%11
  4. 35%+25%7
24h volume$2.2K
Total volume$2.4K
Markets11 venue, 1 priced
ResolvesJul 1, 2027in 8 months
First seenOct 24, 2026
Watching0

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 24, 02:36 AMOct 24, 01:57 PMOct 25, 01:17 AMOct 25, 12:38 PMDown 9 points on Oct 25
▲▼ a move of 8 points or more in a day

Based on market prices from Polymarket. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

If you’re right

$
Side
VenuePriceSharesPaysProfit
Polymarket71¢141$141+$40.85 1.4×

Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.

Where this question trades

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.
  1. 1Anthropic IPO Officially Confirmed By: November 30, 2026
    70%Yes10 pts
  2. 2Which Companies Will Confirm an IPO in 2026: Anthropic
    84%Yes3 pts
  3. 3Anthropic IPO Officially Confirmed By: December 31, 2026
    81%Yes4 pts
  4. 4Will Anthropic list by 1 January 2027 00:00 UTC with a first-day market cap above $2.5T?
    7%Yes0 pts
  5. 5When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO? Before Nov 1, 2026
    2%Before Nov 1, 20261 pts

As of Oct 25, 01:31 PM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.