Will John Kerry be arrested before Jan 2027?
1%John Kerry
1 ptsover 24hVolume-weighted across 1 of 2 venues
The field · 24 outcomes
24h volume$20
Total volume$7.1K
Markets22 venues, 1 priced
ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 2 months
First seenSep 2, 2026
Watching0
Probability history
Market-implied probabilities on Polymarket · All recorded historyDrag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom
Based on market prices from Polymarket. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.
If you’re right
What a stake pays at each venue, before fees$
| Venue | Price | Shares | Pays | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 4.8¢ | 2,083 | $2,083 | +$1,983 20.8× |
Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.
Where this question trades
2 venuesComparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.
- Will John Kerry be arrested before 2027?
99% No$20 24h volumeResolution rulesSet your country to see where you can trade.Set your country - Who will be arrested in 2026?: Will John Kerry be arrested before Jan 2027?98% No$0 24h volumeResolution rulesSet your country to see where you can trade.Set your country
More in Politics
- 1U.S House Midterm Winner: Democratic Party91%Yes0 pts
- 2Texas Senate winner?: Will Republicans win the Senate race in Texas? Ken Paxton37%Ken Paxton4 pts
- 3Texas Senate Election Winner: Ken Paxton (R)37%Yes3 pts
- 42026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?: Will House Control be Republican AND Senate Control be Republican for Feb 2027? R-House, R-Senate9%Republicans sweep1 pts
- 5Texas Senate Election Winner: James Talarico (D)65%Yes2 pts
As of Oct 24, 11:58 AM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.