Will Gavin Newsom be arrested before Jan 2027?
4%Gavin Newsom
0 ptsover 24hPlain mean across 0 of 2 venues
The field · 24 outcomes
24h volume$0
Total volume$48.4K
Markets22 venues, 0 priced
ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 2 months
First seenSep 2, 2026
Watching0
Probability history
Market-implied probabilities on Kalshi · All recorded historyDrag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom
Based on market prices from Kalshi. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.
If you’re right
What a stake pays at each venue, before fees$
| Venue | Price | Shares | Pays | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 4.9¢ | 2,041 | $2,041 | +$1,941 20.4× |
Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.
Where this question trades
2 venuesComparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.
- Who will be arrested in 2026?: Will Gavin Newsom be arrested before Jan 2027?94% No$0 24h volumeResolution rulesSet your country to see where you can trade.Set your country
- Will Gavin Newsom be arrested before 2027?
97% Nono volume publishedResolution rulesSet your country to see where you can trade.Set your country
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As of Oct 25, 04:30 PM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.