Will Joe Manchin run for president in 2028?: Will Joe Manchin announce a run for President of the United States in 2028? Yes

50%Yes

0 ptsover 24h

24h volume$0

Total volume$1.4K

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Open interest$944

Markets11 venue, 0 priced

ResolvesMar 1, 2028next year

First seenSep 7, 2026

Watching0

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities on Kalshi · All recorded history

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Based on market prices from Kalshi. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

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What a stake pays at each venue, before fees

Stake

Side

Venue	Price	Shares	Pays	Profit
	22¢	455	$455	+$355 4.5×

Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.

Where this question trades

1 venue

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

Will Joe Manchin run for president in 2028?: Will Joe Manchin announce a run for President of the United States in 2028? Yes
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Will Joe Manchin run for president in 2028?: Will Joe Manchin announce a run for President of the United States in 2028? Yes

Probability history

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Where this question trades

More in Politics

Probability history

If you’re right

Where this question trades

More in Politics