Will Israel and Qatar normalize relations before 2027? Before Jan 1, 2027

3%Before Jan 1, 2027
1 ptsover 24hOne venue carries this question.
24h volume$273.2
Total volume$86.5K
Markets11 venue, 1 priced
ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 3 months
First seenSep 7, 2026
Watching0

Probability history

Open the market →

Drag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Aug 9Aug 22Sep 3Sep 16Sep 29

Based on market prices from Kalshi. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

Where this question trades

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

More in World

View category →
  1. 1Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
    15%Yes0 pts
  2. 2US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?
    33%Yes1 pts
  3. 3Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?
    5%Yes1 pts
  4. 4Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
    24%Yes1 pts
  5. 5 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
    10%Yes7 pts

As of Sep 29, 07:26 PM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.