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Will Israel and Qatar normalize relations before 2027? Before Jan 1, 2027

No97%
Before Jan 1, 20273%

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24h volume$273.2
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread1%
ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Aug 9Aug 22Sep 4Sep 16Sep 29Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Israel and Qatar normalize diplomatic relations before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. The agreement must be ratified as before Jan 1, 2027 to be included within the Payout Criterion. Examples of agreements that would be encompassed by the Payout Criterion include the agreements signed in 2020 and 2021 between Israel and Bahrain, the United Arab Emirates, and Morocco.

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As of Sep 29, 09:27 PM UTC