Will Democrats win 9 or more of the US House seats bordering Mexico in the 2026 midterm elections?

71%Yes
0 ptsover 24h

The field · 3 outcomes

  1. 9+ · this question71%0
  2. 7-815%3
  3. <77%1
24h volume$112
Total volume$2.5K
Markets11 venue, 1 priced
ResolvesNov 4, 2026in 11 days
First seenOct 20, 2026
Watching0

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 20Oct 21Oct 22Oct 23Oct 24Down 10 points on Oct 21Down 28 points on Oct 22
▲▼ a move of 8 points or more in a day

Based on market prices from Polymarket. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

If you’re right

$
Side
VenuePriceSharesPaysProfit
Polymarket72¢139$139+$38.89 1.4×

Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.

Where this question trades

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

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As of Oct 24, 12:20 PM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.