Will Christine Lagarde be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?

12%Yes

3 ptsover 24h

ResolvesApr 18, 2027 · in 5 months

The field · 49 outcomes

24h volume$1K6 trades

Total volume$1.6K

Liquidity$5.4K

Open interest—

Markets: 1 · 1 venue, 1 priced
First seen: Nov 8, 2026
Watching: 0

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Market-implied probabilities on Polymarket · All recorded history

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Based on market prices from Polymarket. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

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1 venue

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

Will Christine Lagarde be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
88% No$1K 24h volumeResolution rules
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What a stake pays at each venue, before fees

Stake

Side

Venue	Price	Shares	Pays	Profit
	13¢	769	$769	+$669 7.7×

Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.

As of Nov 10, 11:09 PM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.

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Will Christine Lagarde be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?

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Probability history

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