Will Billie Eilish have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?

5%Yes

2 ptsover 24h

The field · 23 outcomes

24h volume$20

Total volume$42.8K

Liquidity$796

Open interest—

Markets11 venue, 1 priced

ResolvesDec 31, 2026in 2 months

First seenSep 2, 2026

Watching0

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities on Polymarket · All recorded history

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Based on market prices from Polymarket. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

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What a stake pays at each venue, before fees

Stake

Side

Venue	Price	Shares	Pays	Profit
	5.6¢	1,786	$1,786	+$1,686 17.9×

Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.

Where this question trades

1 venue

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

Will Billie Eilish have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?
95% No$20 24h volume
Resolution rules
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As of Nov 1, 05:32 PM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.