What Will Be in a US-Iran Deal in 2026? — 5% Enrichment Cap (1+ Year)
14%Yes
0 ptsover 24h
The field · 6 outcomes
- What Will Be in a US-Iran Deal in 2026? — Uranium Enrichment % Cap16%0
- What Will Be in a US-Iran Deal in 2026? — Dilution of Iran's Uranium15%0
- What Will Be in a US-Iran Deal in 2026? — 5% Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) · this question14%0
- What Will Be in a US-Iran Deal in 2026? — Enriched Uranium Surrender10%0
- What Will Be in a US-Iran Deal in 2026? — Iran Reconstruction Funding6%3
- What Will Be in a US-Iran Deal in 2026? — 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium3%0
24h volume$1K
Total volume$31.2K
Markets11 venue, 1 priced
ResolvesJan 15, 2027in 3 months
First seenOct 2, 2026
Watching0
Probability history
Market-implied probabilities on Polymarket US · All recorded historyDrag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom
Based on market prices from Polymarket US. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.
If you’re right
What a stake pays at each venue, before fees$
| Venue | Price | Shares | Pays | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 49¢ | 204 | $204 | +$104 2× |
Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.
Where this question trades
1 venueComparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.
- What Will Be in a US-Iran Deal in 2026? — 5% Enrichment Cap (1+ Year)87% No$1K 24h volumeResolution rulesSet your country to see where you can trade.Set your country
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As of Oct 25, 03:48 AM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.