US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 21?

100%Yes
2 ptsover 24h

The field · 3 outcomes

  1. October 21 · this question100%2
  2. October 3194%3
  3. November 3078%1
24h volume$4.3K
Total volume$67K
Markets11 venue, 1 priced
ResolvesOct 21, 20263 days ago
First seenOct 14, 2026
Watching0

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 14Oct 17Oct 19Oct 22Oct 25

Based on market prices from Polymarket. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

If you’re right

$
Side
VenuePriceSharesPaysProfit
Polymarket99.9¢*100$100+$0.10 1×

Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.

Where this question trades

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

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As of Oct 25, 04:33 AM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.