US recession by end of 2026?

6%Yes

0 ptsover 24h

24h volume$141

Total volume$1.7M

Liquidity—

Open interest—

Markets11 venue, 1 priced

ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 2 months

First seenSep 13, 2026

Watching0

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities on Opinion · All recorded history

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Based on market prices from Opinion. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

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What a stake pays at each venue, before fees

Stake

Side

Venue	Price	Shares	Pays	Profit
	6¢*	1,667	$1,667	+$1,567 16.7×

Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.

Where this question trades

1 venue

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

US recession by end of 2026?
87% No$141 24h volume
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US recession by end of 2026?

Probability history

If you’re right

Where this question trades

More in Economy

Probability history

If you’re right

Where this question trades

More in Economy