Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (9/21 - 9/27): Will there be more than 225 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Sep 21, 2026 to Sep 27, 2026? Above 225

1%Above 225
1 ptsover 24hOne venue carries this question.
24h volume$163
Total volume$9K
Markets11 venue, 1 priced
ResolvesSep 29, 20264 hours ago
First seenSep 18, 2026
Watching0

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 18Sep 21Sep 24Sep 26Sep 29

Based on market prices from Kalshi. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

Where this question trades

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

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As of Sep 29, 06:10 PM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.