KalshiOpen
Will there be more than 225 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Sep 21, 2026 to Sep 27, 2026? Above 225
No99%
Above 2251%
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Opens the venue in a new tab, through Predxy.24h volume$163
7d volume—
30d volume—
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Spread1%
ResolvesSep 29, 20265 hours ago
Probability history
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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
If the number of transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 225 from Sep 21, 2026 to Sep 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The total is calculated by summing daily counts from Sep 21, 2026 to Sep 27, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.
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As of Sep 29, 07:24 PM UTC