Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (10/26 - 11/1): Will there be more than 210 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026? Above 210

24h volume$3.8K
Total volume$3.8K
Markets11 venue, 1 priced
ResolvesNov 3, 2026in 10 days
First seenOct 24, 2026
Watching0

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 23, 11:25 PMOct 24, 08:17 AMOct 24, 05:08 PMOct 25, 02:00 AM

Based on market prices from Kalshi. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

If you’re right

$
Side
VenuePriceSharesPaysProfit
Kalshi8¢1,250$1,250+$1,150 12.5×

Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.

Where this question trades

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

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As of Oct 25, 02:44 AM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.