Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (10/19 - 10/25): Will there be more than 200 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026? Above 200
16%Above 200
6 ptsover 24h
The field · 11 outcomes
24h volume$147
Total volume$4.9K
Markets11 venue, 1 priced
ResolvesOct 27, 2026in 3 days
First seenOct 17, 2026
Watching0
Probability history
Market-implied probabilities on Kalshi · All recorded historyDrag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom
Based on market prices from Kalshi. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.
If you’re right
What a stake pays at each venue, before fees$
| Venue | Price | Shares | Pays | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 19¢ | 526 | $526 | +$426 5.3× |
Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.
Where this question trades
1 venueComparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.
- Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (10/19 - 10/25): Will there be more than 200 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026? Above 20084% No$147 24h volumeResolution rulesSet your country to see where you can trade.Set your country
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As of Oct 24, 02:56 PM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.