Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (10/19 - 10/25): Will there be more than 170 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026? Above 170

24h volume$2.1K
Total volume$23.7K
Markets11 venue, 1 priced
ResolvesOct 27, 2026in 3 days
First seenOct 17, 2026
Watching0

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 17Oct 19Oct 21Oct 22Oct 24Down 8 points on Oct 18
▲▼ a move of 8 points or more in a day

Based on market prices from Kalshi. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

If you’re right

$
Side
VenuePriceSharesPaysProfit
Kalshi90¢111$111+$11.11 1.1×

Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.

Where this question trades

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

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As of Oct 24, 07:29 PM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.