SettledWorld

Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (10/12 - 10/18): Will there be more than 180 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026? Above 180

Result

Settled on Oct 21, 2026. Markets gave it 79% the day before.

This question has settled. The price shown is final, and the change is the resolution, not a move.

99%Above 180
0 ptsover 24h
24h volume$6.7K
Total volume$31.8K
Markets11 venue, 1 priced
ResolvesOct 20, 20265 days ago
First seenOct 10, 2026
Watching0

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 10Oct 12Oct 15Oct 18Oct 21Up 17 points on Oct 15Down 9 points on Oct 16Down 13 points on Oct 18Down 9 points on Oct 19Down 16 points on Oct 20
▲▼ a move of 8 points or more in a day

Based on market prices from Kalshi. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

Where this question trades

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

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As of Oct 25, 02:45 AM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.