KalshiResolved

Will there be more than 180 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026? Above 180

Above 18099%

No1%

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24h volume$6.7K

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity—

Spread—

ResolvesOct 20, 20265 days ago

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the number of transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 180 from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The total is calculated by summing daily counts from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
Will there be more than 190 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026? Above 190	Kalshi	98% No	$7.4K	—	—	Open
Will there be more than 185 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026? Above 185	Kalshi	98% No	$7.3K	—	—	Open
Will there be more than 160 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026? Above 160	Kalshi	99% Above 160	$4.4K	—	—	Open
Will there be more than 220 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026? Above 220	Kalshi	99% No	$2.8K	—	—	Open
Will there be more than 200 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026? Above 200	Kalshi	99% No	$2.3K	—	—	Open
Will there be more than 230 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026? Above 230	Kalshi	99% No	$1.6K	—	—	Open
Will there be more than 210 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026? Above 210	Kalshi	99% No	$1.4K	—	—	Open
Will there be more than 250 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026? Above 250	Kalshi	99% No	$1.1K	—	—	Open
Will there be more than 240 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026? Above 240	Kalshi	99% No	$1K	—	—	Open
Will there be more than 150 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026? Above 150	Kalshi	99% Above 150	$1K	—	—	Open
Will there be more than 170 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026? Above 170	Kalshi	99% Above 170	$795	—	—	Open

Venue activity

Read from the venue 6 days ago

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As of Oct 25, 05:29 AM UTC