Tim Stutzle: 1+ points

2%Tim Stutzle: 1+

—over 24h

The field · 43 outcomes

24h volume$473

Total volume$473

Liquidity$0

Open interest$473

Markets11 venue, 1 priced

ResolvesNov 2, 2026in 1 minute

First seenNov 1, 2026

Watching0

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities on Kalshi · All recorded history

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▲▼ a move of 8 points or more in a day

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Based on market prices from Kalshi. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

If you’re right

What a stake pays at each venue, before fees

Stake

Side

Venue	Price	Shares	Pays	Profit
	55¢	182	$182	+$81.82 1.8×

Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.

Where this question trades

1 venue

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

Tim Stutzle: 1+ points
98% No$473 24h volume
Resolution rules
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As of Nov 2, 03:58 AM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.