South Africa rate decision in November: Will the South African Reserve Bank hike more than 25bps at the November Monetary Policy Committee meeting?

24h volume$61
Total volume$950
Markets11 venue, 1 priced
ResolvesNov 19, 2026in 25 days
First seenSep 23, 2026
Watching0

Probability history

Open the market

Drag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 23Oct 1Oct 9Oct 17Oct 25Down 26 points on Oct 19Up 8 points on Oct 20Up 11 points on Oct 24
▲▼ a move of 8 points or more in a day

Based on market prices from Kalshi. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

If you’re right

$
Side
VenuePriceSharesPaysProfit
Kalshi9¢1,111$1,111+$1,011 11.1×

Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.

Where this question trades

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

More in Economy

View category
  1. 1Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
    96%Yes2 pts
  2. 2Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
    5%Yes2 pts
  3. 3Fed Decision in October — No change
    94%Yes1 pts
  4. 4Fed decision in Oct 2026?: Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their October 2026 meeting? Fed maintains rate
    93%Fed maintains rate1 pts
  5. 5Will the Federal Reserve's Open Market Committee leave unchanged The upper bound target range of the federal funds rate at its October 2026 decision?
    95%Yes2 pts

As of Oct 25, 08:49 AM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.