Saudi troops enter Taiz Governorate by December 31, 2026?

20%Yes
0 ptsover 24h

The field · 2 outcomes

  1. December 31 · this question20%0
  2. October 312%0
24h volume$60
Total volume$6.2K
Markets11 venue, 1 priced
ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 2 months
First seenOct 2, 2026
Watching0

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 2Oct 8Oct 13Oct 19Oct 25Down 25 points on Oct 3Down 10 points on Oct 4
▲▼ a move of 8 points or more in a day

Based on market prices from Polymarket. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

If you’re right

$
Side
VenuePriceSharesPaysProfit
Polymarket21¢476$476+$376 4.8×

Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.

Where this question trades

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

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As of Oct 25, 12:38 AM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.