Prime Minister of Spain after the next election?: Will Pedro Sánchez become Prime Minister of Spain following the next Spanish general election?

17%Pedro Sánchez
1 ptsover 24hVolume-weighted across 1 of 2 venues

The field · 3 outcomes

  1. Alberto Núñez Feijóo76%2
  2. Pedro Sánchez · this question17%1
  3. Santiago Abascal8%4
24h volume$28
Total volume$10K
Markets22 venues, 1 priced
ResolvesAug 22, 2028in 2 years
First seenSep 7, 2026
Watching0

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 7Sep 19Sep 30Oct 12Oct 24Available history starts Oct 5Down 39 points on Oct 22Up 37 points on Oct 23
▲▼ a move of 8 points or more in a day

No recorded data before Oct 5 in this window.

Based on market prices from Kalshi. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

If you’re right

$
Side
VenuePriceSharesPaysProfit
Kalshi20¢500$500+$400 5×

Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.

Where this question trades

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

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As of Oct 24, 05:21 PM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.