Prime Minister of Spain after the next election?: Will Santiago Abascal become Prime Minister of Spain following the next Spanish general election?

6%Santiago Abascal
2 ptsover 24hVolume-weighted across 1 of 2 venues

The field · 3 outcomes

  1. Alberto Núñez Feijóo78%0
  2. Pedro Sánchez23%0
  3. Santiago Abascal · this question6%2
24h volume$682
Total volume$8.7K
Markets22 venues, 1 priced
ResolvesAug 22, 2028in 2 years
First seenSep 7, 2026
Watching0

Probability history

Open the market

Drag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 7Sep 19Oct 1Oct 13Oct 25Available history starts Oct 4Up 9 points on Oct 7
▲▼ a move of 8 points or more in a day

No recorded data before Oct 4 in this window.

Based on market prices from Kalshi. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

If you’re right

$
Side
VenuePriceSharesPaysProfit
Kalshi5¢2,000$2,000+$1,900 20×

Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.

Where this question trades

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

More in Politics

View category
  1. 1Texas Senate Election Winner: Ken Paxton (R)
    38%Yes2 pts
  2. 2U.S House Midterm Winner: Democratic Party
    90%Yes1 pts
  3. 3Texas Senate winner?: Will Republicans win the Senate race in Texas? Ken Paxton
    36%Ken Paxton1 pts
  4. 4Texas Senate Election Winner: James Talarico (D)
    64%Yes1 pts
  5. 52026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
    8%Yes0 pts

As of Oct 25, 06:35 AM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.