Oscar Nominees: Best Picture: 1949 / Fatherland

4%Yes

0 ptsover 24h

The field · 42 outcomes

24h volume$57

Total volume$1.1K

Liquidity$189

Open interest$421

Markets11 venue, 1 priced

ResolvesFeb 15, 2027in 4 months

First seenOct 2, 2026

Watching0

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities on Polymarket US · All recorded history

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▲▼ a move of 8 points or more in a day

Based on market prices from Polymarket US. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

If you’re right

What a stake pays at each venue, before fees

Stake

Side

Venue	Price	Shares	Pays	Profit
	3¢	3,333	$3,333	+$3,233 33.3×

Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.

Where this question trades

1 venue

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

Oscar Nominees: Best Picture: 1949 / Fatherland
97% No$57 24h volume
Resolution rules
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As of Nov 1, 10:24 AM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.