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EconomyUnited StatesUnited States

October Unemployment Rate: Above 4.1%

71%Yes
0 ptsover 24h

The field · 9 outcomes

  1. Above 3.8%99%0
  2. Above 3.9%98%0
  3. Above 4.0%94%1
  4. Above 4.1% · this question71%0
  5. Above 4.2%34%1
  6. Above 4.3%8%0
  7. Above 4.4%4%0
  8. Above 4.5%3%0
  9. Above 4.6%2%0
24h volume$1.1K
Total volume$12.1K
Markets11 venue, 1 priced
ResolvesNov 21, 2026in 28 days
First seenOct 7, 2026
Watching0

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 7Oct 12Oct 16Oct 20Oct 24

Based on market prices from Polymarket US. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

If you’re right

$
Side
VenuePriceSharesPaysProfit
Polymarket US72¢139$139+$38.89 1.4×

Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.

Where this question trades

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

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As of Oct 24, 01:57 PM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.