Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026?

24h volume$1.8K
Total volume$142.7K
Markets22 venues, 1 priced
ResolvesOct 25, 2026in 28 minutes
First seenOct 2, 2026
Watching0

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 2Oct 8Oct 13Oct 19Oct 25Down 15 points on Oct 10Up 25 points on Oct 13Down 29 points on Oct 19Down 12 points on Oct 21Down 11 points on Oct 22
▲▼ a move of 8 points or more in a day

Based on market prices from Polymarket. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

If you’re right

$
Side
VenuePriceSharesPaysProfit
Polymarket1¢10,000$10,000+$9,900 100×

Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.

Where this question trades

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.
  1. 1Anthropic IPO Officially Confirmed By: November 30, 2026
    70%Yes0 pts
  2. 2Which Companies Will Confirm an IPO in 2026: Anthropic
    81%Yes1 pts
  3. 3Anthropic IPO Officially Confirmed By: December 31, 2026
    81%Yes4 pts
  4. 4Will Anthropic list by 1 January 2027 00:00 UTC with a first-day market cap above $2.5T?
    7%Yes0 pts
  5. 5Anthropic IPO Officially Confirmed By: June 30, 2027
    92%Yes0 pts

As of Oct 25, 03:31 AM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.