Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by December 31, 2026?

94%Yes
0 ptsover 24hPlain mean across 0 of 2 venues
24h volume$0
Total volume$0
Markets22 venues, 0 priced
ResolvesDec 31, 2026in 3 months
First seenSep 3, 2026
Watching0

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 3Sep 10Sep 17Sep 24Oct 1

Based on market prices from Polymarket. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

Where this question trades

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.
  1. 1Best AI at the end of 2026?: Best AI on Dec 31, 2026? Gemini
    33%Gemini23 pts
  2. 2Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?
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  3. 3Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?
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  4. 4Best AI at the end of 2026?: Best AI on Dec 31, 2026? Claude
    59%Claude16 pts
  5. 5When will OpenAI release a personal AI agent?: Will OpenAI release a personal AI agent before Oct 1, 2026?
    18%Before Oct 1, 20263 pts

As of Oct 1, 07:00 AM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.