Marathon Fusion's "high-rate alchemy" confirmed by June 30, 2027?

51%Yes
10 ptsover 24h

The field · 2 outcomes

  1. June 30 · this question51%10
  2. December 3113%6
24h volume$2.2K
Total volume$5.5K
Markets11 venue, 1 priced
ResolvesJul 1, 2027in 8 months
First seenOct 22, 2026
Watching0

Probability history

Open the market

Drag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 22, 08:42 PMOct 23, 10:43 AMOct 24, 12:45 AMOct 24, 02:47 PMUp 19 points on Oct 23Down 19 points on Oct 24
▲▼ a move of 8 points or more in a day

Based on market prices from Polymarket. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

If you’re right

$
Side
VenuePriceSharesPaysProfit
Polymarket53¢189$189+$88.68 1.9×

Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.

Where this question trades

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

As of Oct 24, 02:57 PM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.