Marathon Fusion's "high-rate alchemy" confirmed by December 31, 2026?

13%Yes
6 ptsover 24h

The field · 2 outcomes

  1. June 3027%18
  2. December 31 · this question13%6
24h volume$1.8K
Total volume$5.4K
Markets11 venue, 1 priced
ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 2 months
First seenOct 22, 2026
Watching0

Probability history

Open the market

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 22, 08:42 PMOct 23, 10:07 AMOct 23, 11:32 PMOct 24, 12:57 PMUp 38 points on Oct 23
▲▼ a move of 8 points or more in a day

Based on market prices from Polymarket. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

If you’re right

$
Side
VenuePriceSharesPaysProfit
Polymarket13¢769$769+$669 7.7×

Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.

Where this question trades

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

As of Oct 24, 01:56 PM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.