Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...: December 31
6%Yes
0 ptsover 24hVolume-weighted across 1 of 3 venues
24h volume$18K
Total volume$570.5K
Markets33 venues, 1 priced
ResolvesDec 31, 2026in 3 months
First seenSep 2, 2026
Watching0
Probability history
Market-implied probabilities on Polymarket · All recorded historyDrag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom
Based on market prices from Polymarket. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.
Where this question trades
3 venuesComparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.
- LimitlessKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...: December 3195% Nono volume publishedResolution rules →Set your country to see where you can trade.Set your country →
- PolymarketKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?95% No$18K 24h volumeResolution rules →Set your country to see where you can trade.Set your country →
- OpinionKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by... — December 31$0 24h volumeResolution rules →Set your country to see where you can trade.Set your country →
More in World
- 1Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?15%Yes0 pts
- 2US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?33%Yes1 pts
- 3Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?5%Yes1 pts
- 4Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?24%Yes1 pts
- 5 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?10%Yes7 pts
As of Sep 29, 07:29 PM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.