Will John Ratcliffe leaves Director of the CIA in before 2027?

12%John Ratcliffe

2 ptsover 24hVolume-weighted across 2 of 2 venues

ResolvesJan 1, 2027 · in 2 months

24h volume$7022 trades on 1 of 2 venues

Total volume$36.3K

Liquidity$3.9K

Open interest$11.1KFrom 1 of 2 venues

Markets: 2 · 2 venues, 2 priced
First seen: Sep 2, 2026
Watching: 0

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities on Kalshi · All recorded history

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Based on market prices from Kalshi. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

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2 venues

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

John Ratcliffe out as CIA Director by December 31?
86% No$11 24h volumeResolution rules
Set your country to see where you can trade.Set your country
Will John Ratcliffe leaves Director of the CIA in before 2027?
88% No$691 24h volumeResolution rules
Set your country to see where you can trade.Set your country

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What a stake pays at each venue, before fees

Stake

Side

Venue	Price	Shares	Pays	Profit
	11¢	909	$909	+$809 9.1×

Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.

As of Nov 10, 09:09 PM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.

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Will John Ratcliffe leaves Director of the CIA in before 2027?

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Probability history

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