How many major Eastern Pacific hurricanes will there be this year?: Will there be more than 8 hurricanes of category 3 or above in the Eastern Pacific in 2026? Above 8

34%Above 8

8 ptsover 24h

24h volume$0

Total volume$2.5K

Liquidity—

Open interest$1.6K

Markets11 venue, 0 priced

ResolvesDec 1, 2026next month

First seenSep 7, 2026

Watching0

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities on Kalshi · All recorded history

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▲▼ a move of 8 points or more in a day

Based on market prices from Kalshi. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

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What a stake pays at each venue, before fees

Stake

Side

Venue	Price	Shares	Pays	Profit
	35¢	286	$286	+$186 2.9×

Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.

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1 venue

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

How many major Eastern Pacific hurricanes will there be this year?: Will there be more than 8 hurricanes of category 3 or above in the Eastern Pacific in 2026? Above 8
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How many major Eastern Pacific hurricanes will there be this year?: Will there be more than 8 hurricanes of category 3 or above in the Eastern Pacific in 2026? Above 8

Probability history

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Probability history

If you’re right

Where this question trades

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