How many House seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? (Directional): Will the Democratic party hold more than 253 House seats in the 120th Congress? Above 253

13%Above 253

1 ptsover 24h

The field · 16 outcomes

24h volume$500

Total volume$2.1K

Liquidity$0

Open interest$2.1K

Markets11 venue, 1 priced

ResolvesFeb 1, 2027in 3 months

First seenOct 12, 2026

Watching0

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Market-implied probabilities on Kalshi · All recorded history

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Based on market prices from Kalshi. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

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What a stake pays at each venue, before fees

Stake

Side

Venue	Price	Shares	Pays	Profit
	17¢	588	$588	+$488 5.9×

Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.

Where this question trades

1 venue

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

How many House seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? (Directional): Will the Democratic party hold more than 253 House seats in the 120th Congress? Above 253
87% No$500 24h volume
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How many House seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? (Directional): Will the Democratic party hold more than 253 House seats in the 120th Congress? Above 253

Probability history

If you’re right

Where this question trades

More in Politics

Probability history

If you’re right

Where this question trades

More in Politics