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EconomyUnited StatesUnited States

How Low Will Unemployment Get by Dec. 31? — 3.6%

7%Yes
2 ptsover 24h

The field · 3 outcomes

  1. How Low Will Unemployment Get by Dec. 31? — 4.0%52%0
  2. How Low Will Unemployment Get by Dec. 31? — 3.8%14%0
  3. How Low Will Unemployment Get by Dec. 31? — 3.6% · this question7%2
24h volume$79
Total volume$477
Markets11 venue, 1 priced
ResolvesJan 23, 2027in 3 months
First seenOct 9, 2026
Watching0

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 9Oct 13Oct 17Oct 21Oct 24Up 72 points on Oct 14Down 87 points on Oct 15Up 11 points on Oct 22Down 9 points on Oct 23
▲▼ a move of 8 points or more in a day

Based on market prices from Polymarket US. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

If you’re right

$
Side
VenuePriceSharesPaysProfit
Polymarket US4¢2,500$2,500+$2,400 25×

Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.

Where this question trades

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

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  2. 2Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
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  4. 4Fed decision in Oct 2026?: Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their October 2026 meeting? Fed maintains rate
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  5. 5Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?
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As of Oct 24, 11:02 PM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.