SettledEconomyUnited States

How low will the 10Y US Treasury yield get by Oct 30, 2026?: Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be below 4.96% by Oct 30, 2026? 4.95% or below

Result

Settled on Oct 31, 2026. Markets gave it 71% the day before.

This question has settled. The price shown is final, and the change is the resolution, not a move.

95%4.95% or below

0 ptsover 24h

24h volume$16

Total volume$1.1K

Liquidity—

Open interest—

Markets11 venue, 1 priced

ResolvesOct 30, 20262 days ago

First seenOct 24, 2026

Watching0

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities on Kalshi · All recorded history

Open the market

Drag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom

▲▼ a move of 8 points or more in a day

Based on market prices from Kalshi. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

Where this question trades

1 venue

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

How low will the 10Y US Treasury yield get by Oct 30, 2026?: Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be below 4.96% by Oct 30, 2026? 4.95% or below
95% 4.95% or below$16 24h volume
Resolution rules
Set your country to see where you can trade.Set your country

Search

How low will the 10Y US Treasury yield get by Oct 30, 2026?: Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be below 4.96% by Oct 30, 2026? 4.95% or below

Probability history

Where this question trades

More in Economy

Probability history

Where this question trades

More in Economy