Campbell vs Elon: Elon wins

28%Elon

11 ptsover 24hVolume-weighted across 1 of 2 venues

ResolvesNov 14, 2026 · in 4 days

24h volume$1From 1 of 2 venues

Total volume$1.2KFrom 1 of 2 venues

Liquidity$0From 1 of 2 venues

Open interest$1.2KFrom 1 of 2 venues

Markets: 2 · 2 venues, 1 priced
First seen: Nov 5, 2026
Watching: 0

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities on Kalshi · All recorded history

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Based on market prices from Kalshi. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

Where this question trades

2 venues

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

Elon wins
72% No$1 24h volumeResolution rules
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stale
Campbell vs Elon: Elon wins
no volume publishedResolution rules
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If you’re right

What a stake pays at each venue, before fees

Stake

Side

Venue	Price	Shares	Pays	Profit
Best payout	26¢	385	$385	+$285 3.8×
	35¢	286	$286	+$186 2.9×

Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.

As of Nov 10, 08:59 PM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.

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Campbell vs Elon: Elon wins

Probability history

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Probability history

Where this question trades

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