Closest Senate race in 2026?: Will Arkansas have the smallest margin of victory in 2026 United States Senate elections?

1%Arkansas

0 ptsover 24h

The field · 20 outcomes

24h volume$16.5K

Total volume$50.3K

Liquidity—

Open interest$50.3K

Markets11 venue, 1 priced

ResolvesJan 3, 2027in 2 months

First seenSep 25, 2026

Watching0

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities on Kalshi · All recorded history

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Based on market prices from Kalshi. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

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What a stake pays at each venue, before fees

Stake

Side

Venue	Price	Shares	Pays	Profit
	1¢	10,000	$10,000	+$9,900 100×

Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.

Where this question trades

1 venue

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

Closest Senate race in 2026?: Will Arkansas have the smallest margin of victory in 2026 United States Senate elections?
99% No$16.5K 24h volume
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Closest Senate race in 2026?: Will Arkansas have the smallest margin of victory in 2026 United States Senate elections?

Probability history

If you’re right

Where this question trades

More in Politics

Probability history

If you’re right

Where this question trades

More in Politics