Carles Puigdemont back in Spain by October 31, 2026?

2%Yes
1 ptsover 24h

The field · 2 outcomes

  1. December 3181%1
  2. October 31 · this question2%1
24h volume$170
Total volume$21.1K
Markets11 venue, 1 priced
ResolvesNov 1, 2026in 7 days
First seenOct 7, 2026
Watching0

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 7Oct 11Oct 16Oct 20Oct 24Down 8 points on Oct 14Up 14 points on Oct 19Down 24 points on Oct 20
▲▼ a move of 8 points or more in a day

Based on market prices from Polymarket. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

If you’re right

$
Side
VenuePriceSharesPaysProfit
Polymarket3¢3,333$3,333+$3,233 33.3×

Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.

Where this question trades

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

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As of Oct 24, 08:12 PM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.