PolymarketOpen

Carles Puigdemont back in Spain by October 31, 2026?

No98%
Yes2%

Price checked at

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Opens the venue in a new tab, through Predxy.
24h volume$170
7d volume$13.4K
30d volume$21.1K
Liquidity$910
Spread1%
ResolvesNov 1, 2026in 7 days

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Carles Puigdemont physically enters the terrestrial territory of Spain at any point between market creation and October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Territory will be considered Spanish if it is administered by Spain at the time of Carles Puigdemont's presence, regardless of whether the territory is disputed. Unless Spain begins to administer the territory, Gibraltar will not count. Whether or not Puigdemont enters Spanish airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting, including photographs or video from reputable media outlets.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Carles Puigdemont back in Spain in 2026?Polymarket81% YesOpen
Carles Puigdemont back in Spain by October 15, 2026?Polymarket100% NoOpen

Venue activity

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Comments9

Discussion on Predxy

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9 comments

Comments belong to the venue's event, not to this outcome. Every leg of the same event shares this thread.
  • Ortofecal · 4 days ago

    No es cierto, dijo que le compete a la sala de lo penal. Lo más probable es que resuelva entre 2 y 4 semanas, lo que coincide con lo que dijo el abogado de Puigdemont de que volverá tras las elecciones.

  • vinii · 5 days ago

    El juez decidio no archivar la causa.

  • GenaCyberpunk · 15 days ago

    "Territory will be considered Spanish if it is administered by Spain at the time of Carles Puigdemont's presence". Who controls Catalunya?

  • vinii · 18 days ago

    Cataluña es España payaso

  • GenaCyberpunk · 18 days ago

    Wait does Catalunya counts as "terrestrial territory of Spain"?

  • aka.ac69 · last month

    una oferta muy jugosa

  • GenaTheBondKilIer · 2 months ago

    PUCHIMON PUCHIMON A PRISION PUCHIMON PUCHIMON A PRISION

  • GenaUnhinged · 4 months ago

    You are c4ncer, not all markets need to be about tok3n sc4ms and american centered. PUIGDEMONT A PRISION!

  • tiongbu · 4 months ago

    WHO?

As of Oct 25, 12:34 AM UTC