Carles Puigdemont back in Spain by October 31, 2026?
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Probability history
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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Carles Puigdemont physically enters the terrestrial territory of Spain at any point between market creation and October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Territory will be considered Spanish if it is administered by Spain at the time of Carles Puigdemont's presence, regardless of whether the territory is disputed. Unless Spain begins to administer the territory, Gibraltar will not count. Whether or not Puigdemont enters Spanish airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting, including photographs or video from reputable media outlets.
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carles Puigdemont back in Spain in 2026? | Polymarket | 81% Yes | Open |
| Carles Puigdemont back in Spain by October 15, 2026? | Polymarket | 100% No | Open |
Venue activity
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9 comments
From Polymarket's own thread- Ortofecal · 4 days ago
No es cierto, dijo que le compete a la sala de lo penal. Lo más probable es que resuelva entre 2 y 4 semanas, lo que coincide con lo que dijo el abogado de Puigdemont de que volverá tras las elecciones.
- vinii · 5 days ago
El juez decidio no archivar la causa.
- GenaCyberpunk · 15 days ago
"Territory will be considered Spanish if it is administered by Spain at the time of Carles Puigdemont's presence". Who controls Catalunya?
- vinii · 18 days ago
Cataluña es España payaso
- GenaCyberpunk · 18 days ago
Wait does Catalunya counts as "terrestrial territory of Spain"?
- aka.ac69 · last month
una oferta muy jugosa
- GenaTheBondKilIer · 2 months ago
PUCHIMON PUCHIMON A PRISION PUCHIMON PUCHIMON A PRISION
- GenaUnhinged · 4 months ago
You are c4ncer, not all markets need to be about tok3n sc4ms and american centered. PUIGDEMONT A PRISION!
- tiongbu · 4 months ago
WHO?
As of Oct 25, 12:34 AM UTC