Carles Puigdemont back in Spain in 2026?
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Probability history
Market-implied probabilities · All recorded historyDrag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom
Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.
Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Carles Puigdemont physically enters the terrestrial territory of Spain at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Territory will be considered Spanish if it is administered by Spain at the time of Carles Puigdemont's presence, regardless of whether the territory is disputed. Unless Spain begins to administer the territory, Gibraltar will not count. Whether or not Puigdemont enters Spanish airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting, including photographs or video from reputable media outlets.
Venue activity
Read from the venue 4 days agoBest bid 74% · best ask 76%
Top holders
- Socialista47715768779436967227839097997386794404045129259083724156944988197701600166952
- Ortofecal4364203529523571599815420688534440940524105077590658390518592814431640759226
- Our-Sherry4364203529523571599815420688534440940524105077590658390518592814431640759226
- Querulous-Scrim4364203529523571599815420688534440940524105077590658390518592814431640759226
- buzzedballs47715768779436967227839097997386794404045129259083724156944988197701600166952
A snapshot of positions, not a track record.
Recent trades
- BUY26%$65 days ago
- BUY77%$4.65 days ago
- SELL72%$14.45 days ago
- BUY71%$41.26 days ago
- BUY70%$11.96 days ago
- SELL69%$13.86 days ago
Discussion on Predxy
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4 comments
From Polymarket's own thread- aka.ac69 · 8 days ago
una oferta muy jugosa
- GenaTheBondKilIer · last month
PUCHIMON PUCHIMON A PRISION PUCHIMON PUCHIMON A PRISION
- GenaUnhinged · 3 months ago
You are c4ncer, not all markets need to be about tok3n sc4ms and american centered. PUIGDEMONT A PRISION!
- tiongbu · 3 months ago
WHO?
As of Sep 29, 09:27 PM UTC