Arouca vs Nacional: Nacional wins

1%Nacional

18 ptsover 24hVolume-weighted across 1 of 2 venues

24h volume$139From 1 of 2 venues

Total volume$139From 1 of 2 venues

Liquidity—

Open interest—

Markets22 venues, 1 priced

ResolvesNov 1, 2026yesterday

First seenOct 25, 2026

Watching0

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Market-implied probabilities on Kalshi · All recorded history

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▲▼ a move of 8 points or more in a day

Based on market prices from Kalshi. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

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2 venues

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

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Arouca vs Nacional: Nacional wins
100% Nono volume published
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Nacional wins
99% No$139 24h volume
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Arouca vs Nacional: Nacional wins

Probability history

Where this question trades

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Probability history

Where this question trades

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