Alastair Gray vs Darwin Blanch: Alastair Gray wins

99%Alastair Gray

71 ptsover 24hVolume-weighted across 1 of 2 venues

ResolvesNov 9, 2026 · yesterday

24h volume$2.1K15 trades on 1 of 2 venues · From 1 of 2 venues

Total volume$2.2KFrom 1 of 2 venues

Liquidity$1.4KFrom 1 of 2 venues

Open interest$1.5KFrom 1 of 2 venues

Markets: 2 · 2 venues, 1 priced
First seen: Nov 9, 2026
Watching: 0

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities on Kalshi · All recorded history

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▲▼ a move of 8 points or more in a day

Based on market prices from Kalshi. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

Where this question trades

2 venues

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

Alastair Gray wins
99% Alastair Gray$2.1K 24h volumeResolution rules
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Alastair Gray vs Darwin Blanch: Alastair Gray wins
100% Alastair Grayno volume publishedResolution rules
Set your country to see where you can trade.Set your country

If you’re right

What a stake pays at each venue, before fees

Stake

Side

Venue	Price	Shares	Pays	Profit
	99¢*	101	$101	+$1.01 1×

Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.

As of Nov 10, 09:03 PM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.

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Alastair Gray vs Darwin Blanch: Alastair Gray wins

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Probability history

Where this question trades

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