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EconomyUnited StatesUnited States

10Y US Treasury yield on Dec 31, 2027?: Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 1.99% on Dec 31, 2027? 2% or above

88%2% or above
6 ptsover 24h

The field · 25 outcomes

  1. 3.75% or above98%28
  2. 3.5% or above98%48
  3. 2.5% or above98%7
  4. 3.25% or above96%7
  5. 2.75% or above95%15
  6. 4% or above93%17
  7. 2.25% or above91%3
  8. 4.25% or above89%24
  9. 3% or above89%4
  10. 2% or above · this question88%6
  11. 5.5% or above79%56
  12. 5.75% or above78%23
24h volume$26
Total volume$5.8K
Markets11 venue, 1 priced
ResolvesDec 31, 2027next year
First seenOct 1, 2026
Watching0

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 1Oct 7Oct 13Oct 18Oct 24Down 26 points on Oct 16Up 19 points on Oct 17Down 22 points on Oct 18Down 13 points on Oct 21
▲▼ a move of 8 points or more in a day

Based on market prices from Kalshi. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

If you’re right

$
Side
VenuePriceSharesPaysProfit
Kalshi98¢102$102+$2.04 1×

Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.

Where this question trades

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

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  2. 2Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
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  3. 3Fed Decision in October — No change
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  4. 4Fed decision in Oct 2026?: Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their October 2026 meeting? Fed maintains rate
    92%Fed maintains rate0 pts
  5. 5Will the Federal Reserve's Open Market Committee leave unchanged The upper bound target range of the federal funds rate at its October 2026 decision?
    95%Yes3 pts

As of Oct 24, 08:53 PM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.