10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
4%Yes
0 ptsover 24hVolume-weighted across 1 of 2 venues
24h volume$2.4
Total volume$0
Markets22 venues, 1 priced
ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 3 months
First seenSep 2, 2026
Watching0
Probability history
Market-implied probabilities on Opinion · All recorded historyDrag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom
Based on market prices from Opinion. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.
Where this question trades
2 venuesComparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.
- Opinion10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?75% No$2.4 24h volumeResolution rules →Set your country to see where you can trade.Set your country →
- Polymarket10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?99% Nono volume publishedResolution rules →Set your country to see where you can trade.Set your country →
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As of Sep 30, 06:53 PM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.