10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

4%Yes
0 ptsover 24hVolume-weighted across 1 of 2 venues
24h volume$2.4
Total volume$0
Markets22 venues, 1 priced
ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 3 months
First seenSep 2, 2026
Watching0

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 13Sep 17Sep 22Sep 26Sep 30

Based on market prices from Opinion. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

Where this question trades

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

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As of Sep 30, 06:53 PM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.