1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?

4%Yes

1 ptsover 24h

24h volume$77

Total volume$118.8K

Liquidity$6.8K

Open interest—

Markets11 venue, 1 priced

ResolvesMar 1, 2027in 4 months

First seenSep 2, 2026

Watching0

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities on Polymarket · All recorded history

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▲▼ a move of 8 points or more in a day

Based on market prices from Polymarket. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

If you’re right

What a stake pays at each venue, before fees

Stake

Side

Venue	Price	Shares	Pays	Profit
	6.3¢	1,587	$1,587	+$1,487 15.9×

Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.

Where this question trades

1 venue

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?
96% No$77 24h volume
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1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?

Probability history

If you’re right

Where this question trades

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Probability history

If you’re right

Where this question trades

More in Science