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Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 13 to November 20, 2026?

No88%
Yes13%

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24h volume$1.7K
7d volume$1.7K
30d volume$1.7K
Liquidity$9K
Spread1%
ResolvesNov 20, 2026in 10 days

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Nov 10, 04:04 AMNov 10, 09:33 AMNov 10, 03:02 PMNov 10, 08:30 PMShaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

No recorded data before Nov 10 in this window.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from November 13 12:00 PM ET to November 20, 2026 12:00 PM ET.

Read the full rules

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Sourcehttps://x.com/elonmusk

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As of Nov 10, 09:30 PM UTC