Set 1 Winner: Lorenzo Musetti vs Toby Samuel

MUSETTI—
SAMUEL—

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Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Nov 10, 08:29 AMNov 10, 12:00 PMNov 10, 03:32 PMNov 10, 07:03 PM

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Lorenzo Musetti and Toby Samuel in the BNP Paribas Nordic Open, originally scheduled for November 10, 2026 at 1:30PM ET. This market will resolve to “Lorenzo Musetti” if Lorenzo Musetti wins the first set. It will resolve to “Toby Samuel” if Toby Samuel wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or play has not begun by November 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP match statistics.

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This market may resolve only when the listed period of play has concluded and the result can be definitively determined by the listed resolution source(s).

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Comparable, not identical. Polymarket lists a specific resolvesAt time and an ATP source URL; PredictFun lists no resolvesAt and says resolution is based on official ATP match statistics. The published criteria are otherwise the same in any material way.
  • Predict.funthis market

    Set 1 Winner: Lorenzo Musetti vs Toby Samuel

    This market refers to the tennis match between Lorenzo Musetti and Toby Samuel in the BNP Paribas Nordic Open, originally scheduled for November 10, 2026 at 1:30PM ET. This market will resolve to “Lorenzo Musetti” if Lorenzo Musetti wins the first set. It will resolve to “Toby Samuel” if Toby Samuel wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or play has not begun by November 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP match statistics. This market may resolve only when the listed period of play has concluded and the result can be definitively determined by the listed resolution source(s).

  • Set 1 Winner: Lorenzo Musetti vs Toby Samuel

    This market refers to the tennis match between Lorenzo Musetti and Toby Samuel in the BNP Paribas Nordic Open, originally scheduled for November 10, 2026 at 1:30PM ET. This market will resolve to “Lorenzo Musetti” if Lorenzo Musetti wins the first set. It will resolve to “Toby Samuel” if Toby Samuel wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or play has not begun by November 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP match statistics. This market may resolve only when the listed period of play has concluded and the result can be definitively determined by the listed resolution source(s).

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As of Nov 10, 10:10 PM UTC